राज्य

देर से ही सही मानसून ने दी दस्तक, IMD ने की मानसून के केरल पहुंचने की घोषणा

एक हफ्ते की देरी के बाद आखिरकार दक्षिण पश्चिम मॉनसून ने भारत में दस्तक दे दी। भारत मौसम विज्ञान विभाग (IMD) ने मॉनसून के केरल आगमन की घोषणा की है। मौसम विज्ञानियों ने इससे पहले कहा था कि चक्रवात ‘बिपरजॉय’ मॉनसून को प्रभावित कर रहा है और केरल में इसकी शुरुआत मामूली होगी। आईएमडी ने गुरुवार एक बयान में कहा, ‘‘दक्षिण पश्चिम मॉनसून आज 8 जून को केरल पहुंच गया।’’ बयान में कहा गया है, ‘‘मॉनसून दक्षिण अरब सागर के शेष हिस्सों और मध्य अरब सागर के कुछ हिस्सों तथा समूचे लक्षद्वीप क्षेत्र, केरल के अधिकतर क्षेत्र, दक्षिण तमिलनाडु के अधिकतर हिस्सों, कोमोरिन क्षेत्र के शेष हिस्सों, मन्नार की खाड़ी और दक्षिण पश्चिम, मध्य एवं उत्तर पूर्व बंगाल की खाड़ी के कुछ हिस्सों की ओर बढ़ रहा है.दक्षिण पश्चिम मॉनसून आम तौर पर केरल में 1 जून तक पहुंच जाता है और सामान्यत: एक जून से करीब सात दिन पहले या बाद में यह पहुंचता है। मई के मध्य में आईएमडी  ने कहा था कि मॉनसून केरल में चार जून के आसपास पहुंच सकता है। निजी मौसम पूर्वानुमान केंद्र ‘स्काईमेट’ ने केरल में सात जून को मॉनसून के आगमन का अनुमान जताया था और कहा था कि मॉनसून सात जून से तीन दिन आगे पीछे आ सकता है। आईएमडी के आंकड़ों के अनुसार, पिछले 150 वर्षों में केरल में मॉनसून की शुरुआत की तारीख भिन्न रही है, जो 1918 में समय से काफी पहले 11 मई को और 1972 में सबसे देरी से 18 जून को आया था.दक्षिण-पश्चिम मॉनसून पिछले साल 29 मई को, 2021 में तीन जून को, 2020 में एक जून, 2019 में आठ जून और 2018 में 29 मई को केरल पहुंचा था। रिसर्च से पता चलता है कि केरल में मॉनसून के आगमन में देरी का मतलब यह नहीं है कि उत्तर पश्चिम भारत में मॉनसून की शुरुआत में देरी होगी। हालांकि, केरल में मॉनसून के आगमन में देरी आम तौर पर दक्षिणी राज्यों और मुंबई में मॉनसून की शुरुआत में देरी से जुड़ी होती है। वैज्ञानिकों का कहना है कि केरल में मॉनसून के आगमन में देरी भी इस मौसम के दौरान देश में कुल वर्षा को प्रभावित नहीं करती। आईएमडी ने पहले कहा था कि ‘अलनीनो’ की स्थिति विकसित होने के बावजूद दक्षिण-पश्चिम मॉनसून के मौसम में भारत में सामान्य बारिश होने की उम्मीद है। उत्तर पश्चिम भारत में सामान्य या उससे कम बारिश होने की उम्मीद है। पूर्व और उत्तर पूर्व, मध्य और दक्षिण प्रायद्वीप में इस दौरान औसत की 94 से 106 प्रतिशत सामान्य वर्षा होने की उम्मीद है।

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